I may have forgotten how to blog. I’ve been away for about 10 days now and have therefore missed a good deal. I hit on 3/4 of my pre-conference season final four prediction. That makes me feel better for having an absolutely heinous bracket that included USC going to the final four and Davidson losing in Round 1. As this week progresses, I will give out my own personal awards for the tourney, which has been very good thus far. Today though is reserved for my MLB Season Preview, which I have been quietly excited for for quite some time.
In regards to my Round 2 Mock Draft, I promise, it will happen before the draft does. It just likely won’t happen this week.
MLB EXTRA INNINGS Free Preview on DIRECTV. How happy does that sentence make me? Answer: Very. Currently Watching: Diamondbacks @ Reds.
For now: ONTO THE 2008 SEASON.
We’re going to break it down by division, into specific categories. Those Categories Are:
-Player Integral To Their Success
-Biggest Question Mark
-Ceiling ( Potential World Series Champion (PWSC), Potential Pennant Winner (PPW), Shot at the playoffs (SATP), Improving (I), Not Much To Be Excited About (NM), and Doormat (D)
-Overall Breakdown of team.
(Teams will be listed in order of the place I see them finishing in their division).
AL EAST
1. Boston Red Sox
-Player Integral To Their Success: Josh Beckett
-Biggest Question Mark: Daisuke Matsuzaka
-Ceiling: PWSC
Breakdown: The Red Sox lineup is solid and I think their bullpen is as well. The addition of David Aardsma will really help this team. If Josh Beckett can come back by early May and be healthy for the rest of the season, they’ll have a real good shot at winning the World Series again. They need Daisuke to step up and be a number 1 quality starter. He’s being paid like one and needs to perform that way.
2. New York Yankees
-Player Integral To Their Success: Ian Kennedy
-Biggest Question Mark: Their Young Pitchers
-Ceiling: PWSC
Breakdown: Much like the Red Sox, I have no concerns about their lineup. They have practically zero holes offensively, to the point where they can have a guy get hurt or slump and still be productive. With Joba-God and Rivera at the back end of the bullpen, they’re solid. It really comes down to Phil Hughes and Ian Kennedy’s ability to be big game pitchers in big game situations. You’re being slightly too hopeful if you think that both can be electric. I think Hughes will be. I have my questions about Kennedy.
3. Tampa Bay Rays
-Player Integral To Their Success: Scott Kazmir
-Biggest Question Mark: Bullpen. What else is new?
-Ceiling: I
Breakdown: I make no secret of the fact that I love this team and have for some time. James Shields has shown flashes of being a good starter in the Major Leagues and I like the addition of Matt Garza and subtraction of Delmon Young (and the subtraction of Elijah Dukes). Kazmir is integral to their finishing in 3rd in the division however. Like Beckett with the Sox, the Rays need him to come back healthy to be successful. The bullpen is not going to win them any games. It hopefully won’t lose them many. They’re on the rise and will not finish in 5th in the East.
4. Toronto Blue Jays
-Player Integral to Their Success: Roy Halladay
-Biggest Question Mark: Offense
-Ceiling: NM
Breakdown: They may have the best bullpen in the division. Their offense, however, beyond Alexis Rios and Vernon Wells does not leave me very impressed. If they can keep Roy Halladay healthy, they’ll contend with the Rays for 3rd in the division, but any dreams of making a playoff run are just that. Dreams.
5. Baltimore Orioles
-Player Integral to Their Success: Success?
-Biggest Question Mark: The Team
-Ceiling: D
Breakdown: This team is horrible and has no hope of finishing in 4th in this division.
AL CENTRAL
1. Detroit Tigers
-Player Integral to Their Success: Todd Jones
-Biggest Question Mark: Todd Jones
-Ceiling: PWSC
Breakdown: The best lineup assembled in my lifetime. Once Curtis Granderson comes back and they go Granderson, Polanco, Sheffield, Ordonez, Cabrera, Guillen, Renteria, Rodriguez, Jones in the order, no one will be able to stop them. Their rotation does not scare me, because they can afford to not be spot on all the time. The only concern I have is Todd Jones at the end of the bullpen closing out the occasional close game. Other than that, this is the best team in baseball. Hands down.
2. Cleveland Indians
-Player Integral to Their Success: Joe Borowski
-Biggest Question Mark: Joe Borowski
-Ceiling: PWSC
Breakdown: If not for the team above them, they would be the best team in baseball. They’re solid everywhere except for the back of the bullpen with Joe Borowski who is a blown save waiting to happen.
3. Chicago White Sox
-Player Integral to Their Success: Orlando Cabrera
-Biggest Question Mark: Their Starting Rotation 3-5
-Ceiling: SATP
Breakdown: I don’t have questions about Mark Buehrle and Javier Vazquez. I do have questions about John Danks, Jose Contreras, and Gavin Floyd. They only have a shot at the playoffs if they win the Wild Card and all three of those guys have +.500 records. I don’t really see that happening. OC is integral to their success because they need a culture change. If he can bring that and make the team fun again, like in 2005, they’ll have a shot.
4. Kansas City Royals
-Player Integral to Their Success: Gil Meche
-Biggest Question Mark: Alex Gordon
-Ceiling: I
Breakdown: Like the Rays, they’re not going to the playoffs this year, but they’ve started to do the things necessary to win and be productive. The bullpen is serviceable. The lineup is decent (so long as Alex Gordon can live up to his potential). The rotation is iffy. They need Gil Meche (a number 4 starter on the Indians and Tigers) to be an ace in their rotation if they want to approach .500 this year. Give them two years and they’ll be a PPW.
5. Minnesota Twins
-Player Integral to Their Success: Delmon Young
-Biggest Question Mark: A very thin rotation
-Ceiling: D
Breakdown: It’s amazing how much they’ve fallen, but they’re easily the worst team in this division. Livan Hernandez, who may be 45 years old, is their opening day starter and after that, you throw a dart at Kevin Slowey (the worst name for a pitcher ever), Scott Baker, and Boof Bonser (Second worst name for a pitcher/person ever). Their offense is not very good beyond Justin Morneau. They need Delmon Young to be a very productive hitter to even sniff 3rd in this division.
AL WEST
1. Seattle Mariners
-Player Integral to Their Success: King Felix
-Biggest Question Mark: Everyone after King Felix
-Ceiling: SATP
Breakdown: The lineup isn’t great. The rotation, beyond their two aces isn’t either. The bullpen, beyond JJ Putz might not be stellar. However, neither is this division.
2. Los Angeles Angels of California Angels of Anaheim California
-Player Integral to Their Success: Jered Weaver
-Biggest Question Mark: Pitching Health
-Ceiling: SATP
Breakdown: They’re not far from or ahead of Seattle, only because of the Lackey/Escobar injuries. They could be a a potential pennant winner if they had both of those guys at the head of the rotation. However, they’ll need Jered Weaver to step up and be an ace and Ervin Santana to figure out how to pitch well on the road to win the West. Their lineup and bullpen is better than Seattle’s however their starters are not.
3. Texas Rangers
-Player Integral To Their Success: They won’t have very much success
-Biggest Question Mark: Surprise! Pitching.
-Ceiling: NM
Breakdown: Their pitching is not very good.
4. Oakland A’s
-Player Integral to Their Success: They also won’t have very much success.
-Biggest Question Mark: Their increasingly buffoonish General Manger.
-Ceiling: D
Breakdown: Travis Buck, Daric Barton, Mike Sweeney, Jack Cust, Jack Hannahan, Mark Ellis, Bobby Crosby, Chris Denorfia, and Kurt Suzuki. That’s who they’ll trot out to hit in a League with the following pitchers: Erik Bedard, Felix Hernandez, Josh Beckett, Roy Halladay, Scott Kazmir, Justin Verlander, and John Lackey. Strikeouts galore. Oh, and their pitching is also not very good. But hey, they’ll have a high team OBP.
NL EAST
1. Philadelphia Phillies
-Player Integral to Their Success: Brett Myers
-Biggest Question Mark: Bullpen
-Ceiling: PPW
Breakdown: The lineup is nowhere near as good as the Tigers in the AL, but it’s by far the best in the National League. I don’t love their pitching rotation outside of Cole Hamels, who should be their number 1 starter. If Brett Myers can make his success equal his stuff, they’ll be a great team. Otherwise, they’ll fall back in have to compete with a number of potential pennant winning teams.
2. New York Mets
-Player Integral to Their Success: Jose Reyes
-Biggest Question Mark: Team Health
-Ceiling: PPW
Breakdown: Their rotation is much better than the Phillies. Their lineup, however, is not. If they can stay healthy, and that’s a big “if” they can win the pennant. As a slight side note, I would like to see Jose Reyes be Jose Reyes and not a watered down version of the catalyst that he is for the Mets. In case you’re not aware, Jose will not be teaching Spanish on the Shea Stadium video board, he will not be dancing, he will not be himself. This is all part of some idiot’s plan to make Jose Reyes a “serious ballplayer.” Jose Reyes is seriously good. Let him be himself.
3. Atlanta Braves
-Player Integral To Their Success: Jair Jurrjens
-Biggest Question Mark: Bullpen
-Ceiling: SATP
Breakdown: They’re not as good as you’d be led to believe they are.
4. Washington Nationals
-Player Integral to Their Success: No success.
-Biggest Question Mark: The Worst Rotation in Baseball. Worse than the Orioles’.
-Ceiling: D
Breakdown: Despite a walk-off win last night, this team isn’t going to contend for anything this year. Their rotation is horrible, especially as banged up as it is right now, with Shaun Hill out.
5. Florida Marlins
-Player Integral to Their Success: No success.
-Biggest Question Mark: A really terrible lineup beyond HanRam and Uggla.
-Ceiling: D
Breakdown: They’ll probably win the World Series next year, because they’re due. Just not this year.
NL CENTRAL
1. Chicago Cubs
-Player Integral To Their Success: Rich Hill
-Biggest Question Mark: Kerry Wood
-Ceiling: PPW
Breakdown: A solid lineup. A good rotation. If Rich Hill can be a solid number 3 they’ll likely run away with this division. I’d like to see Kerry Wood be a prosperous closer for them as well.
2. Milwaukee Brewers
-Player Integral to Their Success: Ben Sheets
-Biggest Question Mark: Everyone after Ben Sheets.
-Ceiling: SATP
Breakdown: I really think that the Brewers have taken a step back this year. Their pitching is full of question marks, including Ben Sheets’ ability to stay healthy. Even their bullpen, “anchored” by Eric Gagne, is worse this year than last. They’ll score runs. I just don’t think they can stop the other teams in the NL from scoring.
3. Houston Astros
-Player Integral to Their Success: Brandon Backe
-Biggest Question Mark: Starting Rotation
-Ceiling: NM
Breakdown: Unlike the Braves, I think the Astros aren’t being looked at enough. This is not a great division. I honestly think they could win it if the Cubs falter. Their lineup is not amazing, but they play in side of a small silo. Runs will be scored. I don’t really like their rotation beyond the always good Roy Oswalt. If Brandon Backe and/or Wandy Rodriguez can be effective, they might not be a bad team.
4. Cincinnati Reds
-Player Integral to Their Success: Homer Bailey
-Biggest Question Mark: Starting Rotation
-Ceiling: I
Breakdown: I actually like the Reds to have a better shot at the playoffs than Houston and Milwaukee if a lot of things go their way. First, they need Homer Bailey who is starting the year in AAA Louisville, to come up to the big club and perform like his stuff indicates he can. They’ve improved a terrible pitching staff with Josh Fogg, Edinson Volquez, Jeremy Affeldt, and Francisco Cordero coming aborad. Getting a contribution from Bailey and Johnny Cueto can propel this team into some real success. I think they’re the best team in the NL Central…just next year.
5. Pittsburgh Pirates
-Player Integral to Their Success: No success.
-Biggest Question Mark: There’s a few.
-Ceiling: NM
Breakdown: They have a really pretty ballpark.
6. St. Louis Cardinals
-Player Integral to Their Success: No Success.
-Biggest Question Mark: A horrible rotation.
-Ceiling: D
Breakdown: They’ve fallen even more than the Twins have. This team won a World Series two years ago and now starts the year with Adam Wainwright, Braden Looper, Joel Pinero, Kyle Lohse, and Todd Wellemeyer as their starting rotation. And there’s nothing to really be optimistic about.
NL WEST
1. Arizona Diamondbacks
-Player Integral to Their Success: Chris Young
-Biggest Question Mark: All of the Young Guys.
-Ceiling: PPW
Breakdown: I think this team has the highest ceiling over the next 5 years in baseball. They’re stellar at the front end of the rotation with Brandon Webb and Dan Haren. The bullpen, though not amazing at first glance, is still good. The big question is whether all of their young position players can get it done. Chris Young is important to this team because of his immense talent. If he can boost his batting average, a dismal .237 last year, and get on base (by hitting, not walking) more, he can kick start the offense.
2. Colorado Rockies
-Player Integral to Their Success: Aaron Cook
-Biggest Question Mark: Back End of the Rotation
-Ceiling: PPW
Breakdown: I’m still driving this bandwagon (though I allow Amanda to drive it as well) into this year. I really like this team. They grabbed my attention in late September last year and continue to. Troy Tulowitzki is a star waiting to happen. Matt Holliday is one of the 5 best hitters in the game. I’m only concerned about how well their pitchers beyond Jeff Francis perform. If they can have an Aaron Cook or Ubaldo Jimenez step up and be a solid number 2, they can win this division.
3. Los Angeles Dodgers
-Player Integral to Their Success: Andruw Jones
-Biggest Question Mark: Their ability to score at least once every game.
-Ceiling: SATP
Breakdown: Just a horrible offense last year. No power whatsoever. I think that as Andre Eithier, James Loney, Russell Martin, and Matt Kemp get older, they’ll polish their power hitting ability. The Dodgers need them to. Otherwise, they’re not going to win more than 80 games this year.
4. San Diego Padres
-Player Integral to Their Success: Anyone who knows how to hit.
-Biggest Question Mark: Subpar Offense
-Ceiling: SATP
Breakdown: Where the Dodgers have the potential to be a good offensive team this year, as their young prospects get more playing time, the Padres don’t really have a lot of good young prospects playing everyday. Beyond Adrian Gonzalez, I don’t see a guy who can help this team score runs. Their pitching will be solid with Jake Peavy and Chris Young. I just wonder whether their offense can give them enough runs to win games.
5. San Francisco Giants
-Player Integral to Their Success: They’ll be successful if they win 50 games this year.
-Biggest Question Mark: Numbers 1-9 in the order.
-Ceiling: D
Breakdown: It’s a shame that Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain have to pitch for this team. This franchise is embarrassing.
Playoffs
American League
Detroit over Seattle
Cleveland over Boston
Detroit over Cleveland
National League
Arizona over Philadelphia
Colorado over Chicago
Arizona over Colorado
WORLD SERIES
Detroit over Arizona
AWARDS
AL MVP: MIGUEL CABRERA (DETROIT TIGERS)
AL CY YOUNG: JUSTIN VERLANDER (DETROIT TIGERS)
AL ROOKIE OF THE YEAR: JACOBY ELLSBURY (BOSTON RED SOX)
NL MVP: MATT HOLLIDAY (COLORDAO ROCKIES)
NL CY YOUNG: BRANDON WEBB (ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS)
NL ROOKIE OF THE YEAR: JUSTIN UPTON (ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS)
Game O’ The Day: Just Watch Baseball.