Toronto Blue Jays Preview

Biggest Offseason Acquisition: The 2012 Miami Marlins. And RA Dickey.

Potential Fatal Flaw: Essentially being the 2012 Miami Marlins

Ceiling: World Series champions

Floor: .500 baseball team

Overall: Anything other than a World Series victory will be considered a failure for the Toronto Blue Jays.

Not since the Florida Marlins became the Miami Marlins all the way back in the previous offseason has a team so made over their roster.

That did not go so well for the Marlins and so they packed up and moved to Canada.

Young teams have the built-in luxury of, well, being young. When you’re young, expectations are tempered. The Blue Jays don’t have that luxury. They’re made up of mostly veteran players. There will not be any room for failure.

Toronto’s biggest upgrade is in the pitching department where they go from a 2012 opening day rotation of: Ricky Romero, Brandon Morrow, Henderson Alvarez, Kyle Drabek, and Brett Cecil to a 2013 opening day rotation of: RA Dickey, Brandon Morrow, Mark Buehrle, Josh Johnson, and Ricky Romero. Are there question marks? Absolutely. Josh Johnson is always going to be a question mark because of his health. And Ricky Romero is a big question mark as well. If his 2013 is anything like his 2012, the Blue Jays won’t make the playoffs. Likewise if Josh Johnson misses time due to injury, the Blue Jays are in trouble. The depth beyond the starting five is limited.

Offensively, Toronto should be at the top of the league. There’s speed with Jose Reyes and Colby Rasmus. There’s power with Edwin Encarnacion and of course Jose Bautista. Add to that Melky Cabrera’s apparent new found ability to get on base and Brett Lawrie’s speed and defense and you’ve got a very good baseball team. On paper.

Do I think the expectations on the Blue Jays are fair? Absolutely. You don’t go out and acquire a new team full of All-Stars and Cy Young winner (yes, that’s meant to be singular) and expect to just be happy with a .500 season. But there are a lot of question marks and a lot of things have to go right that you wouldn’t necessarily want to bet your children’s college savings on. Like Josh Johnson’s arm staying intact.

I think in an AL East that has regressed mightily, the Blue Jays will win the division. But it probably won’t be enough to get them to the ultimate goal, unless all of the stars align perfectly. Which you’ve only got a 1-in-30 chance of happening.

Predicted Finish: 91-71

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